EL TIPO DE CAMBIO DE HOY ES DE: It’s Thanksgiving week in the United States, and it’s also been exactly one year since President Donald J. Trump got reelected with one of the most diverse coalitions in the Republican Party’s history. You wouldn’t know it from watching cable news, but Hispanic Americans actually have a lot more to be thankful for today than the doom-and-gloom headlines would have you believe.
Turn on mainstream media and you hear one story: Trump is “hemorrhaging” Latino support, Hispanics “regret” voting for him, and the economy is supposedly falling apart. But when you look at what actually happened in the 2024 election, and what’s really happening in the economy right now, the picture is very different.
A Historic Realignment
It’s been exactly one year since President Donald J. Trump got reelected with a strong backing of one of the most diverse coalitions in the Republican Party’s history. An increasingly young and growing demographic nationwide, Hispanic voters went out in historic droves to vote for President Trump, which demonstrates even more Latinos backed him than they did George W. Bush, who was long considered the high-water mark for GOP performance with Hispanics.
Pew’s validated voter analysis shows Trump came within 3 points of winning Hispanic voters nationally, which would have been the first time ever in recent history that a Republican would accomplish that: 51% for Kamala Harris vs. 48% for Trump. That’s an earthquake compared to the old map where in 2016, Hillary Clinton won Hispanics by 38 points, and in 2020, Joe Biden won them by 25.
In other words, Democrats went from treating Hispanics as a guaranteed +25 to barely scraping by. Trump and Republicans turned Hispanics into a genuine swing bloc, not a captive constituency. That kind of realignment doesn’t vanish in twelve months just because of a few bad news cycles and biased polling data.
Why Latinos Backed Trump, and Don’t Regret It
Latinos voted for Trump because the last four years of Joe Biden’s presidential term were becoming unsustainable on the issues that hit our community hardest: our pocketbooks and our sense of security. They’re also tired of empty campaign promises from Democrats who have held power and done nothing to improve their quality of life – not even for the very immigrants they claim to champion.
The families that backed him already knew Trump’s priorities: tackling inflation, restoring economic growth, and cracking down on record-high, unchecked illegal immigration. None of this was a surprise. President Trump has been, unsurprisingly to anyone following his agenda over the last decade, fulfilling his campaign promises. So why would Latino voters suddenly “regret” voting for a candidate who is doing what he said he would do?
This may be a shocker to anyone not consistently following voter trends and real-life sentiment, but they’re actually not regretting it at all.
Polls, Mood, and Media Spin
The latest Pew numbers are rough on Trump at first glance. Around 70% of Latinos now claim they “disapprove” of his job performance, and 61% say his economic policies have made conditions worse for Hispanics. Those toplines are exactly what mainstream outlets blast everywhere as proof that “Latinos are turning on Trump”, a convenient lifeline for Democrat politicians still recovering from the bloodbath they suffered in 2024 at the White House, House, and Senate levels.
But buried in the same research is the part they downplay: among Latinos who actually voted for Trump in 2024, roughly 8 in 10 still approve of the job he’s doing, down from the mid-90s at the start of the term, but still extremely high loyalty in today’s polarized environment. In plain English: the overall Latino mood is sour, but so have been the ones that never voted for him (that was never going to change anyway). The Trump-voting Latino bloc is temporarily frustrated yet still largely with him. That’s not a mass defection. That’s a community under economic and security stress, giving angry answers to angry questions while remaining far more open to Republicans than it ever was pre-2016.
And it’s not just Latinos. According to CNN’s own data, Trump’s support among Republican voters is sitting at about 87% and has held there for months, remaining higher than Bush or Obama enjoyed within their own parties at comparable points in their second terms. Even CNN has had to admit his GOP backing is “like a rock.” That alone undercuts the narrative that his movement is fractured, exhausted, or abandoned.
Obviously, when you poll people a certain way and frame questions a certain way without providing honest context, you’re going to get responses shaped by that frame. For example, look at the wording in many of these surveys: “Have Trump’s policies harmed or helped Hispanics?” “Have his policies made things worse or better for people like you?”
Those are negative-tilted frames. If you ask any community if they feel “harmed” by Washington after a year of inflation, illegal immigration raids (that the majority of Americans, including Latinos, voted for), and constant partisan warfare, you’ll get a lot of “yes.” That doesn’t mean they regret their 2024 vote, and it definitely doesn’t mean they’re ready to go back to being a taken-for-granted Democrat bloc.
Off-Year Blue State Wins Don’t Erase The Facts
Then there’s the other half of the narrative: off-year races in blue states. In New Jersey’s 2025 governor’s race, for example, exit polls show Democrats winning about two-thirds of the Hispanic vote. Immediately this became “proof” Latinos have turned on Trump and re-embraced Democrats.
That ignores two basic realities. Off-year elections draw a smaller, older, more affluent, more college-educated electorate, or, in other words, people for whom politics is a hobby, not a crisis. Younger and working-class Latinos are consistently underrepresented in that electorate. And we’ve seen this movie before. In 2022, Democrats “over-performed” expectations in the midterms and were praised for resisting the “red wave.” In 2023, they racked up off-year wins in places like Ohio, Kentucky, and Virginia, and were told this was a springboard to 2024. Then 2024 happened. Trump won the presidency with 312 electoral votes, Republicans flipped the Senate, and kept the House.
Off-year races in places that were already blue, decided by an electorate that underrepresents younger and working-class Latinos, tell you almost nothing about how 30-plus million eligible Hispanic voters will behave when the presidency is on the line. They certainly didn’t in 2018, 2022, or 2023 — and pretending they do now is less about understanding Hispanic voters and more about reassuring a political class that just lost the White House, the House, and the Senate in 2024. Off-year races in New York or California say more about union turnout operations than they do about a Puerto Rican mom in Orlando deciding whether she can afford daycare.
The Economy Under Trump 2.0: Numbers vs. Narrative
One reason a lot of Latino voters backed Trump in 2024 was simple: four years of Biden-era inflation made life unaffordable. Prices for gas, groceries, rent – everything – shot up while wages lagged. Under Biden, inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, the worst in four decades. Gas prices averaged over $5 a gallon. Egg prices spiked above $6 a dozen by early 2025 after years of volatility.
For all the talk of “Trump breaking the economy,” the numbers say something else. After a brief dip at the start of 2025, growth has rebounded to nearly 4%, the strongest pace in two years. Inflation is now hovering around 3%, and real weekly earnings are finally rising faster than prices again. Gas is around $3.05, which is roughly $1.80 lower than the Biden-era peak. Eggs have fallen from above $6 to the mid-$3 range, a roughly 40% decline in under a year. Families feel every difference in dollars when they’re buying groceries.
Between 2023 and 2024, Hispanic median household income rose about 5.5%, even as income for some other groups stagnated or fell. Poverty among Hispanics has moved downward, not up, and the trend remains the same throughout President Trump’s second term. Is everything fixed? No. But the direction has changed: prices are easing from crisis highs achieved under Biden, growth has bounced back, and Hispanic incomes are actually rising on paper.
So why does a community with rising incomes and falling poverty tell pollsters they feel poorer and more insecure? Because numbers don’t talk – narratives do. And the narrative most Spanish-speaking households hear from the media is relentless crisis, fear over immigration raids, and the message that Republicans are out to get them, which is simply not true. Many of the people being detained and deported, more than 70%, according to official DHS data, are individuals with criminal records or repeat immigration violations. Latinos voted to clean up a mess that worsened under Biden’s watch.
Free agents, not property of either party
We also need to remember that Republican support, including for Trump, is the highest it’s ever been among Hispanics. So if anything, Republicans still have everything to gain and Democrats have everything to lose. For decades, Democrats counted on automatic Latino loyalty. Now that advantage is lower than ever, and Latinos support Republican candidates more than at any point in recent history.
Many of us have simply realized the Democrat Party is no longer the party of the working class, nor the true representation of our traditionally conservative values. It increasingly represents elite, corporate interests and lobbyists, including major healthcare companies that profit from high premiums while being subsidized with little oversight. For Democrats, Latinos are a great voting bloc they only care about during election season. Then we’re forgotten, and we’re left to deal with the real-world consequences of inflation, crime, and illegal immigration on our own.
What we also know is this – we still have plenty of time, three years left in this term, for things to change. Polls are volatile; they capture a mood in a moment, not the final verdict of 30-plus million eligible Hispanic voters. And they always underestimate President Trump’s support. And more and more Latinos are walking away from legacy TV news and finding independent journalists, podcasts, and platforms like this one instead.
Hispanics have not “snapped back” into line for Democrats. The real story is that Latino voters have finally become “free agents”, ready to punish anyone who doesn’t deliver on security, affordability, and respect. This Thanksgiving, that’s something both parties should keep in mind. And for Hispanic Americans who voted for Trump in 2024, there is already more to be thankful for than the mainstream media will ever admit.
References
Im, Carolyne and Luis Noé-Bustamante. “Majorities of Latinos Disapprove of Trump and His Policies on Immigration, Economy.” Pew Research Center, Nov. 24, 2025.
“Behind Trump’s 2024 Win: A More Racially and Ethnically Diverse Voter Coalition.” Pew Research Center, June 26, 2025.
“Gross Domestic Product, 2025 Second Quarter (Third Estimate).” U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Sept. 26, 2025.
“United States Inflation Rate — Historical Data.” TradingEconomics.com, retrieved Nov. 26, 2025.
“Consumer prices up 9.1 percent over the year ended June 2022 — largest increase in 40 years.” Bureau of Labor Statistics, July 18, 2022.
“CPI-U 12-Month Change, September 2025.” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oct. 24, 2025.
“President Trump holds record 87 percent Republican approval, poll shows.” RSBN quoting CNN polling aggregate, Nov. 25, 2025. rsbnetwork.com
“CNN: Trump’s GOP Approval ‘Like a Rock’ — Holding at 87%.” Daily Caller News Foundation (video), Nov. 25, 2025.
It’s Thanksgiving week in the United States, and it’s also been exactly one year since President Donald J. Trump got reelected with one of the most diverse coalitions in the Republican Party’s history. You wouldn’t know it from watching cable news, but Hispanic Americans actually have a lot more to be thankful for today than the doom-and-gloom headlines would have you believe.
Turn on mainstream media and you hear one story: Trump is “hemorrhaging” Latino support, Hispanics “regret” voting for him, and the economy is supposedly falling apart. But when you look at what actually happened in the 2024 election, and what’s really happening in the economy right now, the picture is very different.
A Historic Realignment
It’s been exactly one year since President Donald J. Trump got reelected with a strong backing of one of the most diverse coalitions in the Republican Party’s history. An increasingly young and growing demographic nationwide, Hispanic voters went out in historic droves to vote for President Trump, which demonstrates even more Latinos backed him than they did George W. Bush, who was long considered the high-water mark for GOP performance with Hispanics.
Pew’s validated voter analysis shows Trump came within 3 points of winning Hispanic voters nationally, which would have been the first time ever in recent history that a Republican would accomplish that: 51% for Kamala Harris vs. 48% for Trump. That’s an earthquake compared to the old map where in 2016, Hillary Clinton won Hispanics by 38 points, and in 2020, Joe Biden won them by 25.
In other words, Democrats went from treating Hispanics as a guaranteed +25 to barely scraping by. Trump and Republicans turned Hispanics into a genuine swing bloc, not a captive constituency. That kind of realignment doesn’t vanish in twelve months just because of a few bad news cycles and biased polling data.
Why Latinos Backed Trump, and Don’t Regret It
Latinos voted for Trump because the last four years of Joe Biden’s presidential term were becoming unsustainable on the issues that hit our community hardest: our pocketbooks and our sense of security. They’re also tired of empty campaign promises from Democrats who have held power and done nothing to improve their quality of life – not even for the very immigrants they claim to champion.
The families that backed him already knew Trump’s priorities: tackling inflation, restoring economic growth, and cracking down on record-high, unchecked illegal immigration. None of this was a surprise. President Trump has been, unsurprisingly to anyone following his agenda over the last decade, fulfilling his campaign promises. So why would Latino voters suddenly “regret” voting for a candidate who is doing what he said he would do?
This may be a shocker to anyone not consistently following voter trends and real-life sentiment, but they’re actually not regretting it at all.
Polls, Mood, and Media Spin
The latest Pew numbers are rough on Trump at first glance. Around 70% of Latinos now claim they “disapprove” of his job performance, and 61% say his economic policies have made conditions worse for Hispanics. Those toplines are exactly what mainstream outlets blast everywhere as proof that “Latinos are turning on Trump”, a convenient lifeline for Democrat politicians still recovering from the bloodbath they suffered in 2024 at the White House, House, and Senate levels.
But buried in the same research is the part they downplay: among Latinos who actually voted for Trump in 2024, roughly 8 in 10 still approve of the job he’s doing, down from the mid-90s at the start of the term, but still extremely high loyalty in today’s polarized environment. In plain English: the overall Latino mood is sour, but so have been the ones that never voted for him (that was never going to change anyway). The Trump-voting Latino bloc is temporarily frustrated yet still largely with him. That’s not a mass defection. That’s a community under economic and security stress, giving angry answers to angry questions while remaining far more open to Republicans than it ever was pre-2016.
And it’s not just Latinos. According to CNN’s own data, Trump’s support among Republican voters is sitting at about 87% and has held there for months, remaining higher than Bush or Obama enjoyed within their own parties at comparable points in their second terms. Even CNN has had to admit his GOP backing is “like a rock.” That alone undercuts the narrative that his movement is fractured, exhausted, or abandoned.
Obviously, when you poll people a certain way and frame questions a certain way without providing honest context, you’re going to get responses shaped by that frame. For example, look at the wording in many of these surveys: “Have Trump’s policies harmed or helped Hispanics?” “Have his policies made things worse or better for people like you?”
Those are negative-tilted frames. If you ask any community if they feel “harmed” by Washington after a year of inflation, illegal immigration raids (that the majority of Americans, including Latinos, voted for), and constant partisan warfare, you’ll get a lot of “yes.” That doesn’t mean they regret their 2024 vote, and it definitely doesn’t mean they’re ready to go back to being a taken-for-granted Democrat bloc.
Off-Year Blue State Wins Don’t Erase The Facts
Then there’s the other half of the narrative: off-year races in blue states. In New Jersey’s 2025 governor’s race, for example, exit polls show Democrats winning about two-thirds of the Hispanic vote. Immediately this became “proof” Latinos have turned on Trump and re-embraced Democrats.
That ignores two basic realities. Off-year elections draw a smaller, older, more affluent, more college-educated electorate, or, in other words, people for whom politics is a hobby, not a crisis. Younger and working-class Latinos are consistently underrepresented in that electorate. And we’ve seen this movie before. In 2022, Democrats “over-performed” expectations in the midterms and were praised for resisting the “red wave.” In 2023, they racked up off-year wins in places like Ohio, Kentucky, and Virginia, and were told this was a springboard to 2024. Then 2024 happened. Trump won the presidency with 312 electoral votes, Republicans flipped the Senate, and kept the House.
Off-year races in places that were already blue, decided by an electorate that underrepresents younger and working-class Latinos, tell you almost nothing about how 30-plus million eligible Hispanic voters will behave when the presidency is on the line. They certainly didn’t in 2018, 2022, or 2023 — and pretending they do now is less about understanding Hispanic voters and more about reassuring a political class that just lost the White House, the House, and the Senate in 2024. Off-year races in New York or California say more about union turnout operations than they do about a Puerto Rican mom in Orlando deciding whether she can afford daycare.
The Economy Under Trump 2.0: Numbers vs. Narrative
One reason a lot of Latino voters backed Trump in 2024 was simple: four years of Biden-era inflation made life unaffordable. Prices for gas, groceries, rent – everything – shot up while wages lagged. Under Biden, inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022, the worst in four decades. Gas prices averaged over $5 a gallon. Egg prices spiked above $6 a dozen by early 2025 after years of volatility.
For all the talk of “Trump breaking the economy,” the numbers say something else. After a brief dip at the start of 2025, growth has rebounded to nearly 4%, the strongest pace in two years. Inflation is now hovering around 3%, and real weekly earnings are finally rising faster than prices again. Gas is around $3.05, which is roughly $1.80 lower than the Biden-era peak. Eggs have fallen from above $6 to the mid-$3 range, a roughly 40% decline in under a year. Families feel every difference in dollars when they’re buying groceries.
Between 2023 and 2024, Hispanic median household income rose about 5.5%, even as income for some other groups stagnated or fell. Poverty among Hispanics has moved downward, not up, and the trend remains the same throughout President Trump’s second term. Is everything fixed? No. But the direction has changed: prices are easing from crisis highs achieved under Biden, growth has bounced back, and Hispanic incomes are actually rising on paper.
So why does a community with rising incomes and falling poverty tell pollsters they feel poorer and more insecure? Because numbers don’t talk – narratives do. And the narrative most Spanish-speaking households hear from the media is relentless crisis, fear over immigration raids, and the message that Republicans are out to get them, which is simply not true. Many of the people being detained and deported, more than 70%, according to official DHS data, are individuals with criminal records or repeat immigration violations. Latinos voted to clean up a mess that worsened under Biden’s watch.
Free agents, not property of either party
We also need to remember that Republican support, including for Trump, is the highest it’s ever been among Hispanics. So if anything, Republicans still have everything to gain and Democrats have everything to lose. For decades, Democrats counted on automatic Latino loyalty. Now that advantage is lower than ever, and Latinos support Republican candidates more than at any point in recent history.
Many of us have simply realized the Democrat Party is no longer the party of the working class, nor the true representation of our traditionally conservative values. It increasingly represents elite, corporate interests and lobbyists, including major healthcare companies that profit from high premiums while being subsidized with little oversight. For Democrats, Latinos are a great voting bloc they only care about during election season. Then we’re forgotten, and we’re left to deal with the real-world consequences of inflation, crime, and illegal immigration on our own.
What we also know is this – we still have plenty of time, three years left in this term, for things to change. Polls are volatile; they capture a mood in a moment, not the final verdict of 30-plus million eligible Hispanic voters. And they always underestimate President Trump’s support. And more and more Latinos are walking away from legacy TV news and finding independent journalists, podcasts, and platforms like this one instead.
Hispanics have not “snapped back” into line for Democrats. The real story is that Latino voters have finally become “free agents”, ready to punish anyone who doesn’t deliver on security, affordability, and respect. This Thanksgiving, that’s something both parties should keep in mind. And for Hispanic Americans who voted for Trump in 2024, there is already more to be thankful for than the mainstream media will ever admit.
References
Im, Carolyne and Luis Noé-Bustamante. “Majorities of Latinos Disapprove of Trump and His Policies on Immigration, Economy.” Pew Research Center, Nov. 24, 2025.
“Behind Trump’s 2024 Win: A More Racially and Ethnically Diverse Voter Coalition.” Pew Research Center, June 26, 2025.
“Gross Domestic Product, 2025 Second Quarter (Third Estimate).” U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Sept. 26, 2025.
“United States Inflation Rate — Historical Data.” TradingEconomics.com, retrieved Nov. 26, 2025.
“Consumer prices up 9.1 percent over the year ended June 2022 — largest increase in 40 years.” Bureau of Labor Statistics, July 18, 2022.
“CPI-U 12-Month Change, September 2025.” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Oct. 24, 2025.
“President Trump holds record 87 percent Republican approval, poll shows.” RSBN quoting CNN polling aggregate, Nov. 25, 2025. rsbnetwork.com
“CNN: Trump’s GOP Approval ‘Like a Rock’ — Holding at 87%.” Daily Caller News Foundation (video), Nov. 25, 2025.
